John Malkovich
Implied probability 47%−3
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$159k
Liquidity$159k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 47% |
| 8 Nov, 13:14 UTC | 47% |
| 8 Nov, 12:53 UTC | 46% |
| 8 Nov, 11:35 UTC | 47% |
| 8 Nov, 06:41 UTC | 46% |
| 8 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Nov, 23:55 UTC | 47% |
| 7 Nov, 22:22 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Nov, 21:29 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Nov, 20:55 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 49% |
| 7 Nov, 14:20 UTC | 49% |
| 7 Nov, 13:59 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 13:19 UTC | 47% |
| 7 Nov, 12:17 UTC | 53% |
| 7 Nov, 09:24 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 07:41 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Nov, 05:43 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 49% |
| 7 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 49% |
| 7 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 53% |
| 6 Nov, 23:26 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 20:17 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 19:03 UTC | 51% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 12:08 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 07:31 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 07:03 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 47% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Nov, 18:43 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 44% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Nov, 06:40 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Nov, 03:08 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Nov, 07:27 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 23:31 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 46% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 04:51 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 03:47 UTC | 47% |
| 2 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Nov, 17:11 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Nov, 10:36 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Nov, 08:43 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 47% |
| 2 Nov, 03:06 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 46% |
| 2 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Nov, 00:33 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 49% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if John Malkovich wins Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for any award he might receive, but only a win in the Best Actor category counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 47%
- No 53%