San Diego
Implied probability 92%+2
24-hour volume$203
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves25 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 92% |
| 7 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 90% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Fernando Tatis Jr. plays for San Diego before March 25, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not join the team by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Padres' playoff win as the deciding factor, but only his contract status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 92%
- No 8%