Before Dec 18, 2026
Implied probability 3%−3
24-hour volume$372
Total volume$144k
Liquidity$144k
Resolves18 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Oct, 03:40 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Oct, 09:45 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the release of Avengers: Doomsday occurs after December 18, 2026. The outcome is No if the film releases on or before that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Avengers: Endgame for the relevant event instead of focusing on the release date of Avengers: Doomsday.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%