Above 590K
Implied probability 68%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 19 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 68% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the total number of votes cast in the Idaho Senate General Election exceeds 590,000. It resolves to No if that total is 590,000 or fewer. Readers often mistake the specific proposition on the ballot for the source of the vote count, but the rule depends on the aggregate turnout for all Senate races.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 68%
- No 32%