Democratic party wins
Implied probability 59%−1
24-hour volume$205
Total volume$520k
Liquidity$520k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 59% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 60% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat wins the general election for Maine's Senate seat before January 2027 and Graham Platner is the Democratic nominee. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the nomination deadline or assume any Democratic candidate counts instead of specifically Graham Platner.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 59%
- No 41%