Citigroup
Implied probability 11%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 08:47 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Citigroup acts as a lead underwriter for Kraken's US initial public offering before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake any partnership or investment activity for the specific role of lead underwriter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%