Above 90
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 12 Oct, 14:22 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the number of downloads for the Carbon Arc Grok App in October 2026 exceeds 90. The outcome is No if that download count is 90 or lower. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the current date, but the metric depends strictly on data from October 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%