Ilse Aigner
Implied probability 96%+3
24-hour volume$39
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves30 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 10 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Nov, 22:50 UTC | 93% |
| 7 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 87% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Ilse Aigner wins the 2027 German presidential election. The outcome is No if she does not win that specific election. Readers often mistake the nomination for a win, but only the final election result counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%