CDU/CSU
Implied probability 16%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves25 Mar 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the CDU/CSU coalition wins the next German Bundestag election. The outcome is No if they do not win that specific election. Readers often mistake current approval ratings or state election results for the final resolution, but only the national parliamentary vote counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%