Jeff Winther
The market favoured No at 93% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 7%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved18 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +7 points at 10:33 UTC, after SkySports: Jarvis seeks victory at St Andrews, Fitzpatrick among chasing pack LIVE! — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 10:33 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Oct, 18:51 UTC | 0% |
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%