Carlos Alcaraz
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves15 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 6 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 99% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Carlos Alcaraz qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals. It resolves to No if he does not qualify. Readers often mistake the Japan Open win as the deciding factor, but only his qualification for the 2026 season-ending event matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%