Mahmoud Khalil
Implied probability 18%+4
24-hour volume$6
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 18% |
| 19 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mahmoud Khalil is arrested before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the filing of a Supreme Court petition for an arrest.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%