Greg Abbott
Implied probability 14%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 6 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Greg Abbott announces a campaign for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about skipping a rally as an announcement, but only a formal declaration of candidacy counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%