Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?
Why it moved: −13 points at 05:53 UTC, after France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Nations League: Promising France defeat Belgium thanks to Olise — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 06:31 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Belgium wins the match scheduled for October 5, 2026, and to "No" otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final whistle for the deadline, but the outcome is determined by the official statistics recognized by the governing body.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%
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