Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Implied probability 51%−3
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 51% |
| 13 Sept, 10:19 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Sept, 09:23 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Sept, 08:07 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Sept, 07:45 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Sept, 06:53 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 62% |
| 13 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Sept, 01:53 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Sept, 01:29 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 59% |
| 13 Sept, 00:29 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Sept, 23:57 UTC | 56% |
| 12 Sept, 23:01 UTC | 50% |
| 12 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 50% |
| 12 Sept, 22:26 UTC | 51% |
| 12 Sept, 21:51 UTC | 52% |
| 12 Sept, 20:52 UTC | 56% |
| 12 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 48% |
| 12 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 47% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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Outcomes
- Yes 51%
- No 49%
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