Will Christine Lagarde advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Nov, 16:46 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Nov, 11:24 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Nov, 15:03 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 13:50 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 15:45 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Nov, 14:50 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Nov, 13:05 UTC | 15% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Christine Lagarde advances to the second round or wins outright in the first round of the next French presidential election. The market resolves to No if she fails to advance, if no election occurs, or if results are not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%
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