Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 14% |
| 21 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 14% |
| 21 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 14% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 14% |
| 21 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 15% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 15% |
| 20 Oct, 16:27 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 18% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Harry Kane is ranked second in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or, as determined by France Football or UEFA. If multiple players tie for second place, the winner is decided alphabetically by name. Readers often mistake the ceremony date of October 26, 2026, for the final deadline; the actual cutoff is December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%
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