Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
Implied probability 35%−31
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$585
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 23% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 20% |
| 6 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Andrew Garfield appears in the film Avengers: Doomsday, and No otherwise. The market resolves based on official casting announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., credible reporting consensus, or footage from the domestic theatrical cut of the film.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 35%
- No 65%
Trade this market on Polymarket →