El Niño Threatens Global Food, Economy and Weather Systems
The super El Niño event is exacerbating droughts in Sudan and Zambia while threatening cocoa supplies in Ivory Coast and triggering extreme weather globally.
World Bank
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Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about World Bank each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 71% |
| 12 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 72% |
| 12 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 73% |
| 12 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 73% |
| 11 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 78% |
| 9 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 75% |
Stories
IMF and World Bank Warn of Global Debt Risks at Bangkok Meetings
The IMF and World Bank urge urgent fiscal action as high debt and conflict drive uncertainty during their annual meetings in Bangkok.
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
- Bloomberg Markets
- Bloomberg Technology
- Bloomberg Markets
- The Guardian Business
UK Chancellor Healey Vows Fiscal Discipline Ahead of Budget
John Healey pledges to reduce the deficit without borrowing while the economy grows, as he prepares for his October budget in Bangkok.
Kalshi Bank of England 92%