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Markets on Tehran

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Tehran each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

14 0 8 Sept: 1 article 9 Sept: 6 articles 10 Sept: 14 articles 11 Sept: 2 articles 12 Sept: 4 articles 13 Sept: 0 articles 14 Sept: 4 articles 15 Sept: 4 articles 16 Sept: 9 articles 17 Sept: 13 articles 18 Sept: 3 articles 19 Sept: 7 articles 20 Sept: 14 articles 21 Sept: 6 articles 8 Sept15 Sept21 Sept
87 articles in 14 days, per day.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

How the odds moved · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
0%50%100%0%19 Sept, 07:15 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
21 Sept, 11:31 UTC0%
21 Sept, 11:23 UTC0%
21 Sept, 10:24 UTC0%
21 Sept, 07:14 UTC0%
21 Sept, 06:19 UTC0%
21 Sept, 05:55 UTC0%
21 Sept, 05:09 UTC0%
20 Sept, 15:07 UTC0%
20 Sept, 14:24 UTC0%
20 Sept, 07:15 UTC0%
19 Sept, 07:15 UTC1%

Stories

Iran Warns US of Retaliation as Trump Weighs Next Military Move

Tehran threatens unlimited retaliation while Qatar facilitates peace talks, as President Trump considers further strikes following attacks in the Strait of Hormuz.

world 16 sources Priced in

Polymarket Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? 6% −5