Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$739k
Liquidity$52k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 11:31 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 10:24 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 07:14 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 06:19 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 05:09 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 15:07 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on the location of the next formal senior-level diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran that begins by September 30, 2026. For the "Yes" outcome, this in-person meeting must take place in Qatar; for "No," it must occur elsewhere or not happen by the deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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