3 stories · 5 markets · RSS
How much the press wrote about Scott Bessent each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 81% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 88% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 72% |
| 17 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 78% |
| 16 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 77% |
| 15 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 72% |
Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East drive Brent crude above $110, prompting profit outlook upgrades at Citgo and demand forecasts from Halliburton.
Kalshi Above $98.99 76% +4Rising yields in French government bonds amid political unrest prompt corporate hedging by Pernod Ricard and draw scrutiny from global investors.
Kalshi Above $4.3 trillion 6%Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky blames the US for Starshield disruptions, prompting officials to deny the claim and vow accountability.
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