Lebanon

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Markets on Lebanon

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Lebanon each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

11 articles in 14 days, per day.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

How the odds moved · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	5%
16 Oct, 15:59 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 14:08 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 13:45 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 13:24 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 12:56 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 12:19 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 11:58 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 11:02 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 10:55 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 10:14 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 09:54 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 09:12 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 08:59 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 08:13 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 07:53 UTC	4%
16 Oct, 07:24 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 06:56 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 06:29 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 05:48 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 05:21 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 03:36 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 03:29 UTC	4%
16 Oct, 02:55 UTC	4%
16 Oct, 01:49 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 01:15 UTC	4%
16 Oct, 00:48 UTC	5%
16 Oct, 00:09 UTC	5%
15 Oct, 23:28 UTC	5%
15 Oct, 22:36 UTC	5%
15 Oct, 22:29 UTC	5%
15 Oct, 21:27 UTC	5%
15 Oct, 19:28 UTC	4%
15 Oct, 18:55 UTC	4%
15 Oct, 17:25 UTC	5%
15 Oct, 12:37 UTC	4%
15 Oct, 12:23 UTC	5%
15 Oct, 11:53 UTC	5%
15 Oct, 08:57 UTC	4%
15 Oct, 08:16 UTC	4%
15 Oct, 07:55 UTC	3%
15 Oct, 07:06 UTC	3%
15 Oct, 04:22 UTC	3%
15 Oct, 03:48 UTC	3%
14 Oct, 05:56 UTC	3%
13 Oct, 17:35 UTC	3%
13 Oct, 17:28 UTC	3%
12 Oct, 12:18 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 23:04 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 22:39 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 22:19 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 21:47 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 21:25 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 18:01 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 17:34 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 17:27 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 16:54 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 16:15 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 15:55 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 15:08 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 14:54 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 14:27 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 13:36 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 13:28 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 12:54 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 12:27 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 11:54 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 11:18 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 09:55 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 09:28 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 08:43 UTC	2%
10 Oct, 08:24 UTC	3%
10 Oct, 07:57 UTC	2%
10 Oct, 07:24 UTC	2%
10 Oct, 06:57 UTC	2%
10 Oct, 02:39 UTC	5%
10 Oct, 00:59 UTC	5%
10 Oct, 00:12 UTC	5%
9 Oct, 18:20 UTC	5%
9 Oct, 17:46 UTC	5%

Stories

Rubio Urges Lebanon to Resist Hezbollah Over Seized Explosives

The US Secretary of State presses the Lebanese president not to return a truck of explosives intercepted by security forces.

world 2 sources 46m ago

Qatar FM Calls for Israeli Withdrawal from Lebanon

The Qatari foreign minister reaffirms support for Beirut while urging Israel to withdraw its forces from Lebanese territory.

world 2 sources 2h ago

Polymarket Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? 5%

Israeli Firms Placed Spyware on Al Jazeera Devices via Ads

Citizen Lab researchers found that two Israeli companies manipulated online advertisements to install surveillance software on dozens of Al Jazeera devices.

tech 3 sources 15h ago