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Markets on Ethiopia

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Ethiopia each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

8 0 3 Oct: 6 articles 4 Oct: 8 articles 5 Oct: 7 articles 6 Oct: 4 articles 7 Oct: 2 articles 8 Oct: 5 articles 9 Oct: 7 articles 10 Oct: 5 articles 11 Oct: 2 articles 12 Oct: 4 articles 13 Oct: 5 articles 14 Oct: 7 articles 15 Oct: 6 articles 16 Oct: 6 articles 3 Oct10 Oct16 Oct
74 articles in 14 days, per day.

Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?

How the odds moved · Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?
0%50%100%7%10 Oct, 15:28 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now7%
16 Oct, 10:21 UTC7%
16 Oct, 08:40 UTC6%
16 Oct, 08:00 UTC6%
16 Oct, 04:56 UTC7%
16 Oct, 03:36 UTC6%
16 Oct, 02:09 UTC7%
16 Oct, 00:35 UTC6%
15 Oct, 22:01 UTC7%
15 Oct, 20:24 UTC6%
15 Oct, 17:03 UTC7%
15 Oct, 16:56 UTC9%
15 Oct, 16:29 UTC10%
15 Oct, 14:43 UTC10%
15 Oct, 13:31 UTC10%
15 Oct, 13:24 UTC10%
15 Oct, 10:05 UTC14%
15 Oct, 08:16 UTC17%
15 Oct, 06:46 UTC18%
15 Oct, 00:29 UTC18%
14 Oct, 19:50 UTC18%
14 Oct, 16:49 UTC18%
14 Oct, 12:33 UTC19%
14 Oct, 08:29 UTC19%
13 Oct, 20:20 UTC20%
13 Oct, 19:58 UTC18%
13 Oct, 11:34 UTC16%
13 Oct, 02:34 UTC17%
11 Oct, 07:54 UTC14%
11 Oct, 07:26 UTC14%
11 Oct, 00:57 UTC14%
10 Oct, 23:24 UTC14%
10 Oct, 16:15 UTC9%
10 Oct, 15:41 UTC10%
10 Oct, 15:28 UTC9%

Stories

Ethiopia and Eritrea Accuse Each Other of War as Tensions Mount in Tigray

Addis Ababa claims self-defense against alleged Eritrean incursions while Asmara denies involvement, prompting US calls for de-escalation.

world 15 sources

Polymarket Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? 7%