Ethiopia
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 15 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 10% |
| 15 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if an official report confirms a human Ebola case in Ethiopia between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such confirmed case occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the start date for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%