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Tyler Reddick Wins Freeway Insurance 500 at Phoenix as Larson Falters

Reddick claims victory in the Chase opener, tightening the standings after Larson and Hamlin encountered trouble.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 18 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Denny Hamlin
0%50%100%22%12 Oct, 04:03 UTCnowwww.espn.com: Tyler Reddick wins in Phoenix as Kyle Larson fails to finish · 19 Oct, 02:18 UTCSI Feed: Official Race Results for the Freeway Insurance 500 at Phoenix · 19 Oct, 00:13 UTCSI Feed: Tyler Reddick Wins As Larson and Hamlin Falter in Phoenix · 18 Oct, 22:26 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now22%
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The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 18 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 18 October at 22:26 UTC; www.espn.com followed 3h 53m later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 19 October at 02:18 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Denny Hamlin — the market puts it at 22%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Denny Hamlin wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake this for a single race victory rather than the final season title.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Denny Hamlin at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI FeedTyler Reddick Wins As Larson and Hamlin Falter in Phoenix21%
  2. SI FeedOfficial Race Results for the Freeway Insurance 500 at Phoenix21%
  3. www.espn.comTyler Reddick wins in Phoenix as Kyle Larson fails to finish23%▲2 points since the previous source
  4. Current odds22%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Tyler Reddick wins in Phoenix as Kyle Larson fails to finish www.espn.com ·
  2. Official Race Results for the Freeway Insurance 500 at Phoenix SI Feed
  3. Tyler Reddick Wins As Larson and Hamlin Falter in Phoenix SI Feed

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Denny Hamlin 22% −4 $5k 24hends 15 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Tyler Reddick
  • Kyle Larson
  • Denny Hamlin
  • Phoenix Raceway
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