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Denny Hamlin

Implied probability 27%−2
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$613k
Liquidity$613k
Resolves15 Nov 2026

Why it moved: −4 points at 22:53 UTC, after SI Feed: Larson Scores Maximum Points In Dominant Cup Series Win at Kansas — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Denny Hamlin
0%50%100%27%26 Sept, 22:11 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now27%
27 Sept, 23:44 UTC27%
27 Sept, 22:53 UTC26%
26 Sept, 22:11 UTC30%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Denny Hamlin wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake this for a single race victory rather than the final season title.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 27%
  • No 73%

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