Trump Asks Supreme Court To Reopen 2016 Election Lawsuit Against Clinton
President Trump appeals a dismissal of his lawsuit claiming Hillary Clinton orchestrated efforts to sabotage his 2016 campaign.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 12 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 12% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 12% |
| 12 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 11% |
| 11 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 12% |
| 11 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 33% |
| 9 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 15% |
| 8 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 14:00 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 19:16 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 10% |
| 1 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 16% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Sept, 02:15 UTC | 16% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 00:57 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 14:49 UTC | 16% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 10 Oct 2026. The Hill News published first, on 10 October at 02:47 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump — the market puts it at 12%, with $95 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court agrees to hear a case mainly about tariffs set by Donald Trump before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if the Court does not take such a case within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Iowa for the relevant event, but only a Supreme Court decision on tariff cases counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump 12% −2
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Supreme Court
- Hillary Clinton