Trump Administration Files 42 Supreme Court Emergency Pleas, Surpassing First Term Total

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 3 articles since 14 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 14 October at 12:00 UTC. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 14 October at 15:43 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Not nine justices — the market puts it at 10%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court has an equal number of justices appointed by Republican and Democratic presidents on January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that balance is not achieved by that date. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the start of the new term rather than the specific deadline of January 20, 2029.
• 2 — the market puts it at 38%, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if two Supreme Court Justices are confirmed while the current president serves their term from 2025 to 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year rather than the end of the presidential term.
• Between 350 and 399 — the market puts it at 13%, closing 21 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the President signs between 350 and 399 executive orders during his second term. The outcome is No if he signs fewer than 350 or 400 or more executive orders in that period. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year instead of the end of the presidential term.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.