Top Candidates for NFL MVP, Rookie of the Year and More Ranked Through Week 4
ESPN ranks the leading contenders for major NFL awards including MVP, Coach of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year after four weeks.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 10 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 21% |
| 10 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 19% |
| 10 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 21% |
| 10 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 19% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 21% |
| 9 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 21% |
| 9 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 19% |
| 9 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 21% |
| 9 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 19% |
| 9 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 21% |
| 9 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 19% |
| 9 Oct, 16:16 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 14:00 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 21% |
| 9 Oct, 04:00 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 21% |
| 9 Oct, 01:09 UTC | 22% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 22% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 19% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 19% |
| 6 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Sept, 08:35 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 12:48 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 11:21 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Sept, 11:36 UTC | 16% |
| 28 Sept, 10:53 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 10% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 8 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 8 October at 12:05 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Brock Purdy — the market puts it at 21%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 12 Feb 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Brock Purdy wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP award for the 2026-27 NFL season. The outcome depends solely on the official announcement by the Associated Press. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his current performance as the deciding factor, but only the final MVP title matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Brock Purdy 21%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Brock Purdy
- Klint Kubiak
- Will Anderson Jr.
- NFL