SpaceX buys spectrum to launch wireless carrier competing with AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 17 Oct 2026. The Verge published first, on 17 October at 14:00 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Yes — the market puts it at 28%, with $72 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if SpaceX announces an agreement to acquire a major U.S. telecom business before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about a Starship launch for the actual resolution condition.
• SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? — the market puts it at 10%, with $776 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jul 2027. For the outcome to be Yes, the general public must be able to purchase and activate a U.S. mobile phone plan with voice, text, and data services from SpaceX or its controlled entities by June 30, 2027. The service must allow direct access without requiring third-party internet applications for core functions like calling or texting.
• Starlink — the market puts it at 98%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a SpaceX representative mentions Starlink during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution source, but only statements made during the specific earnings call count.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.