Yes
Implied probability 37%
24-hour volume$21
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 44% |
| 22 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 45% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if SpaceX announces an agreement to acquire a major U.S. telecom business before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about a Starship launch for the actual resolution condition.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 37%
- No 63%