Russia Disqualifies Candidates And Accuses West Of Interference Ahead Of Duma Vote
Moscow removes inconvenient parliamentary candidates while accusing the West of plotting to disrupt the September elections.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
All 2 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Sept, 04:26 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Sept, 03:59 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 18:37 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 18:22 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 17:14 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 13:01 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 08:56 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 12:33 UTC | 0% |
| 15 Sept, 23:40 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Sept, 18:20 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 17:01 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 10 Sept 2026. kyivindependent.com published first, on 10 September at 11:26 UTC; France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines followed 28h 45m later. The most recent article, from France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, appeared on 11 September at 16:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: kyivindependent.com, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? — resolved “No” on 19 Sept 2026.
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? — resolved “No” on 21 Sept 2026.
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? — resolved “No” on 21 Sept 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? No 37d ago
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 35d ago
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 35d ago
Wrong market?
In this story
- Russia
- Kremlin
- State Duma