Republicans Raise $1.2 Billion to Target Young Voters Ahead of Election
GOP fundraising efforts focus on youth turnout, which analysts say will determine the margin between a narrow victory and a landslide win.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 84% |
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| 22 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 84% |
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| 22 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 01:51 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 83% |
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| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 83% |
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| 21 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 83% |
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| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 82% |
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| 21 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 83% |
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| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 82% |
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| 21 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Oct, 07:50 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 84% |
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| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 83% |
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| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 82% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 81% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 81% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 80% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 81% |
| 20 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 80% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 81% |
| 20 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 80% |
| 20 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 81% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 79% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 81% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 80% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 81% |
| 18 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 80% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 81% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 80% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 80% |
| 18 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 80% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 81% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 80% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 79% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 80% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 79% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 80% |
| 17 Oct, 12:20 UTC | 79% |
| 17 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 80% |
| 17 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 79% |
| 17 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 80% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 79% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 80% |
| 16 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 79% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 80% |
| 16 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 78% |
| 16 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 80% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 78% |
| 16 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 79% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 80% |
| 16 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 79% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 80% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 82% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 81% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 79% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 78% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 79% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 81% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 79% |
| 15 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 80% |
| 15 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 79% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 80% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 79% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 81% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 78% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 80% |
| 14 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 81% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 82% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 81% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 79% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 80% |
| 13 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 81% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 83% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 82% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 83% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 82% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 81% |
| 13 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 83% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 82% |
| 13 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 81% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 82% |
| 13 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 81% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 82% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 80% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 82% |
| 13 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 81% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 82% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 81% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 82% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 83% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 85% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 83% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 82% |
| 12 Oct, 11:32 UTC | 83% |
| 12 Oct, 07:47 UTC | 82% |
| 12 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 85% |
| 12 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 83% |
| 12 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 84% |
| 12 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 87% |
| 11 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 87% |
| 11 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 87% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 01:34 UTC | 87% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 86% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 87% |
| 10 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 86% |
| 10 Oct, 05:33 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 87% |
| 7 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 87% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 87% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 86% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 85% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 86% |
| 6 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 85% |
| 6 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 86% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 85% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 86% |
| 6 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 85% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 85% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 89% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 88% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 90% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 85% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 86% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 85% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 86% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 87% |
| 2 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 86% |
| 2 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 87% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 86% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 87% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 86% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 86% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 86% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 86% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 85% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 86% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 86% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 86% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 85% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 86% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 84% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 85% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 86% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 84% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 85% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 86% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 84% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 86% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 85% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 84% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 86% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 06:37 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 85% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 83% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 84% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 20 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 20 October at 15:30 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate? — the market puts it at 83%, with $72k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Feb 2027. Democrats must win at least 218 House seats and 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves based on the final seat count following those specific elections. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the 2024 election or other political events.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate? 83% +2
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In this story
- Republicans
- Democrats