Raphinha Transforms Into Barcelona's Star Striker After Leeds Relegation Battle
The former Leeds United player has evolved into the Catalan club's captain and primary forward following his time in England.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 9% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 10:05 UTC | 9% |
| 14 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 15% |
| 14 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 15% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 15% |
| 13 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 16% |
| 13 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 15% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 16% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 17% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 16% |
| 12 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 17% |
| 12 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 18% |
| 12 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 20% |
| 10 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 17% |
| 10 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 20% |
| 6 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 11% |
| 2 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Sept, 05:30 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 20:32 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 16% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 21 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 21 October at 11:56 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Raphinha — the market puts it at 7%, with $671 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. Raphinha must lead the Champions League in goals during the 2026-27 tournament for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on his goal tally in that specific competition, not his performance for Barcelona or other tournaments. Readers often mistake the linked headline about him becoming captain as relevant, but leadership status does not count toward resolution.
- Raphinha — the market puts it at 48%, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The outcome is Yes if Raphinha finishes the 2026-27 La Liga regular season with the most goals. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in scoring. Readers often mistake the linked injury news for the resolution criteria, but only his final goal tally matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Raphinha 7%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Raphinha 48%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Raphinha
- Barcelona
- Leeds United