Putin Poised For Huge New Wave Of Forced Inductions As Russian Men Flee
Vladimir Putin prepares for a massive new wave of forced military inductions as Russian men flee the army.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 23:39 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 11:27 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 12 Oct 2026. The Economist published first, on 12 October at 18:53 UTC. The most recent article, from The Economist, appeared on 12 October at 18:53 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? — the market puts it at 1%, with $96 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Vladimir Putin permanently loses his office before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Temporary absences, caretaker roles, or mere resignation announcements do not count as permanent removal. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2027 instead of late 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? 1%
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In this story
- Vladimir Putin
- Russian