Palantir’s Homes for Ukraine contract cost UK £5mn for one-year extension
The UK government pays Palantir an additional £5 million to extend its controversial contract for the Homes for Ukraine programme.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 06:03 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 08:18 UTC | 11% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 8 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 8 October at 04:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Palantir — the market puts it at 8%, with $37 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if any part of the U.S. federal government acquires a stake in Palantir before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly think news about private investors or foreign governments counts toward resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Palantir 8% −2
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In this story
- Palantir
- United Kingdom