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Palantir Boosts 2026 Revenue Outlook on Strong Commercial Sales Hot: Odds moved 44 points in 24 hours

The company raised its full-year revenue forecast, beating Wall Street expectations due to surging demand for its data analytics tools.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 2 Nov 2026 · updated 1h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by MarketWatch, 7 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Above 1100
0%50%100%55%30 Oct, 13:42 UTCnowBloomberg Technology: Palantir Boosts 2026 Revenue Outlook on Strong Commercial Sales · 2 Nov, 21:16 UTCFortune: Palantir’s revenue rises 96% to $2.3 billion as investors’ patience rests on a hair trigger · 2 Nov, 21:47 UTCMarketWatch: Palantir earnings reveal a major AI turning point · 2 Nov, 21:09 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now55%
2 Nov, 21:41 UTC97%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC99%
30 Oct, 13:42 UTC92%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 2 Nov 2026. MarketWatch published first, on 2 November at 21:09 UTC; Bloomberg Technology followed 7 min later. The most recent article, from Fortune, appeared on 2 November at 21:47 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), MarketWatch, Fortune.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Above 1100 — the market puts it at 55%, with $46 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Palantir Technologies Inc. reports a total customer count above 1100 in 2026. It resolves to No if that specific threshold is not met according to their official report. Readers often mistake the linked news story about land purchases for the actual metric, but only the reported customer count matters.
  • Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 in November? — resolved “Yes” on 2 Nov 2026.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above 1100 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. MarketWatchPalantir earnings reveal a major AI turning point99%
  2. Bloomberg TechnologyPalantir Boosts 2026 Revenue Outlook on Strong Commercial Sales99%
  3. FortunePalantir’s revenue rises 96% to $2.3 billion as investors’ patience rests on a hair trigger97%▼2 points since the previous source
  4. Current odds55%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Palantir Boosts 2026 Revenue Outlook on Strong Commercial Sales Bloomberg Technology ·
  2. Palantir’s revenue rises 96% to $2.3 billion as investors’ patience rests on a hair trigger Fortune
  3. Palantir earnings reveal a major AI turning point MarketWatch

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Above 1100 55% −44 $46 24hends 31 Mar 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 in November? Yes 2h ago

    The market favoured Yes at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Palantir Technologies Inc.
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