New York And Pennsylvania Take Different Approaches To Measles Outbreak
Governors in both states respond to rising cases, with New York seeking federal aid while Pennsylvania delays formal involvement.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 98% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 11 Oct 2026. politico.com published first, on 11 October at 14:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- At least 2000 — the market puts it at 96%, closing 1 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the average annual number of measles cases between 2025 and 2028 reaches 2000 or more. The outcome is No if that average falls below 2000. Readers often mistake the deadline for a single year's total rather than the four-year average.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi At least 2000 96%
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In this story
- New York
- Pennsylvania
- Trump administration