NASA Issues Call to Industry for Private Space Stations
The agency seeks commercial partners to replace the International Space Station in low Earth orbit.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Oct 2026. Ars Technica published first, on 9 October at 21:34 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 1%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if an announcement confirms that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after the question was issued and by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the deadline as January 1, 2027, but the cutoff is actually December 31, 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before 2027 1%
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In this story
- NASA