Manchester United bin-fire keeps blazing and Arsenal draw at Bayern
The discussion covers Manchester United's ongoing disciplinary issues and Arsenal's result against Bayern Munich in the Champions League.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 62% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 61% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 59% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 63% |
| 23 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 04:31 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 62% |
| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 59% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 60% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 60% |
| 21 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 16:20 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 60% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 62% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 60% |
| 19 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 61% |
| 17 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 61% |
| 17 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 60% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 61% |
| 17 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 62% |
| 15 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 61% |
| 15 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 62% |
| 13 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 62% |
| 13 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 23:01 UTC | 62% |
| 12 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 63% |
| 12 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 05:43 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 13:01 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 64% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 22:51 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 06:20 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 04:06 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 58% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 28 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 56% |
| 28 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 02:33 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 05:36 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 03:19 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 58% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 57% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 04:35 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 46% |
| 23 Sept, 23:41 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 20:00 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 47% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 22 October at 13:24 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 63%, with $833 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Chelsea — the market puts it at 53%, with $187 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Chelsea wins the match against Manchester United after 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time. The result does not count if the game goes to extra time or penalties. Readers often mistake the final score after extra time as the deciding factor.
- Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — the market puts it at 1%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. The Yes outcome applies if Manchester United finishes first in the 2026-27 English Premier League standings. The No outcome applies if any other team wins the title or if Manchester United is eliminated from contention before the season ends. Readers often mistake a single match result, such as the linked derby loss, for the final championship standing.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Arsenal 63%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Chelsea 53% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Manchester United
- Arsenal
- Bayern