Katie Bailey Named White House Legislative Director
She assumes the role while retaining her current positions as special assistant to the president and deputy director of legislative affairs.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 23% |
| 9 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 36% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 10 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 10 October at 15:18 UTC; Just In News followed 21h 26m later. The most recent article, from Just In News, appeared on 11 October at 12:44 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS News Politics (major outlet), Just In News (major outlet).
One prediction market prices this story:
- No new Director of Legislative Affairs — resolved “No” on 10 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a new White House Director of Legislative Affairs formally holds that position before January 1, 2027. The outcome depends on whether this person is the first individual to take the role after the market's issuance date. Readers often mistake the linked news headline as the resolution trigger, but only the formal assumption of office matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Resolved No new Director of Legislative Affairs No 2d ago
The market favoured No at 64% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Katie Bailey
- White House