Hurricane Isaias Makes Landfall as Trump Pursues Russian Diesel Deal
Hurricane Isaias makes landfall while President Trump negotiates a diesel deal with Russia.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 99% |
| 7 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 97% |
| 7 Oct, 14:11 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 95% |
| 7 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 93% |
| 6 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 87% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 10 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 10 October at 13:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Isaias — resolved “Yes” on 12 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a storm named Isaias becomes a hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean between May 15, 2026, and December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if it does not meet this criteria within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the formation of a tropical storm for the resolution condition, but the system requires the storm to reach hurricane status.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Resolved Isaias Yes 6h ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Isaias
- Donald Trump