GTA VI Release Tests November Box Office as A24 Leads with $11.4 Million
The highly anticipated video game launch coincides with a sparse theatrical slate where A24's film leads the box office.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 91% |
| 3 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 91% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 88% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 88% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Nov, 21:12 UTC | 89% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Nov, 18:42 UTC | 89% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 90% |
| 2 Nov, 12:42 UTC | 89% |
| 2 Nov, 12:19 UTC | 90% |
| 2 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 89% |
| 1 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Nov, 06:08 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 05:33 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 87% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 89% |
| 31 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 91% |
| 31 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 89% |
| 31 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 90% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 90% |
| 31 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 88% |
| 30 Oct, 17:41 UTC | 90% |
| 30 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 88% |
| 30 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 91% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 89% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 89% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 90% |
| 29 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Oct, 13:15 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Oct, 06:04 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 87% |
| 28 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 86% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 85% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 83% |
| 27 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 86% |
| 27 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 84% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 83% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 86% |
| 27 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 82% |
| 27 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 86% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 3 Nov 2026. Fortune published first, on 3 November at 02:47 UTC; News Feed followed 2h 13m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 3 November at 05:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Fortune.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 91%, with $925 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Grand Theft Auto VI becomes the highest-grossing video game within its first 24 hours of release in 2026. It resolves to No if this financial record is not broken during that specific window. Readers often mistake the total lifetime sales for the required 24-hour revenue metric.
- GTA VI released by November 30? — the market puts it at 98%, with $646 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Grand Theft Auto VI becomes publicly available for purchase or download in the US by November 30 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if the game does not meet this criteria within the specified timeframe. Readers often mistake early access, beta versions, or leaks as an official release, but only full public availability counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Yes 91% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket GTA VI released by November 30? 98% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- GTA VI
- Rockstar
- A24