Former OpenAI Science Lead Launches Warp Science to Automate Wet Labs
Warp Science has raised $215 million led by Lightspeed to automate wet labs with robots.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 13:36 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 10:37 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 00:04 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 16:36 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Oct, 08:00 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 07:47 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 06:59 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 28% |
| 23 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 54% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 54% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Oct, 23:13 UTC | 52% |
| 22 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 50% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 41% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 38% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Oct 2026. TechCrunch published first, on 22 October at 18:38 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? — the market puts it at 11%, with $69 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 27 Oct 2026. The market resolves based on which AI lab holds the second-highest percentage share on OpenRouter during the week of October 19 to 25, 2026. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the end of that data period; the actual check occurs when the figures for the following week (October 26) are first displayed. The source of truth is strictly the percentage view on openrouter.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? 11% −2
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In this story
- OpenAI
- Warp Science
- Lightspeed