Football news: Manchester United updates and Brazil World Cup preparations
Coverage includes weekend Premier League guides, Manchester United updates, and analysis of Brazil's political dysfunction ahead of the Women's World Cup.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 89% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 89% |
| 25 Oct, 07:39 UTC | 86% |
| 25 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 05:57 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 81% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 82% |
| 24 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 81% |
| 24 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 82% |
| 24 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 83% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 83% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 81% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 81% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 76% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 76% |
| 24 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 76% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 78% |
| 24 Oct, 17:15 UTC | 77% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 76% |
| 24 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 76% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Oct, 06:59 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 09:11 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 69% |
| 22 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 69% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Oct, 23:00 UTC | 69% |
| 21 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 69% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 70% |
| 15 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 68% |
| 15 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 67% |
| 15 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 67% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 68% |
| 8 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 67% |
| 8 Oct, 11:46 UTC | 66% |
| 8 Oct, 10:30 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 69% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 68% |
| 8 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 65% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 14:26 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 60% |
| 7 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 60% |
| 6 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 50% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 23 October at 08:14 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? — the market puts it at 89%, with $12k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Lula receives more valid votes from voters outside Brazil than any other candidate in the second round of the election. The No outcome applies if another candidate gets the most votes abroad or if the results are not finalized by June 30, 2027. Readers often mistake the source of truth; only official data from the Superior Electoral Court counts, not preliminary reports or media estimates.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? 89% +14
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In this story
- Manchester United
- Brazil
- Lula