Fed Chair Warsh Defies President on Rate Cut
Jerome Powell prepares to resist political pressure for a rate cut at the upcoming meeting.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
All 2 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 18:18 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Sept, 16:12 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 10:01 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 09:54 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 07:43 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 06:45 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 05:04 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 04:57 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 04:12 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 03:51 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 01:53 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 00:33 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 21:39 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 21:22 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 20:47 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 18:11 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Sept, 14:17 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Sept, 10:48 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 10:24 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 15:25 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 7% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 11 Sept 2026. News Feed published first, on 11 September at 04:00 UTC; Bloomberg.com followed 14h 12m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg.com, appeared on 11 September at 18:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet).
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? — the market puts it at 5%, with $18k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027.
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? — resolved “Yes” on 16 Sept 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? 5% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 40d ago
The market favoured Yes at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Warsh
- Fed