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Ethereum Draft Aims to Cut Transaction Settlement Time by Fourfold

A new draft proposal targets a fourfold reduction in Ethereum transaction finality time, potentially lowering costs for money transfer services.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 22 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 October 19-25?
0%50%100%0%21 Oct, 12:21 UTCnowCoinDesk: Ethereum’s four-minute settlement plan could lower the cost of moving crypto · 22 Oct, 12:14 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
24 Oct, 08:02 UTC0%
24 Oct, 04:03 UTC0%
23 Oct, 08:00 UTC0%
22 Oct, 22:25 UTC1%
22 Oct, 16:54 UTC0%
22 Oct, 12:21 UTC0%
21 Oct, 12:21 UTC0%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Oct 2026. CoinDesk published first, on 22 October at 12:14 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 October 19-25? — the market puts it at 0%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if the lowest price on a Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT falls at or below $1,800 between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on October 19-25. It resolves to "No" if that specific low price never occurs within the defined window. Readers often mistakenly check prices from other exchanges or different trading pairs instead of strictly using Binance ETH/USDT data.
  • Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 7%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the high price on Binance’s ETH/USDT one-minute chart reaches $4,000 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if that specific price target is never met within this window. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2025 or assume prices from other exchanges count toward the resolution.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Ethereum’s four-minute settlement plan could lower the cost of moving crypto CoinDesk ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 October 19-25? 0% $5k 24hends 26 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? 7% −1 $2k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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