England face Greece in Women’s World Cup playoff semi-final first leg

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 9 October at 15:18 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• England — the market puts it at 8%, closing 9 Aug 2027. The market resolves to Yes if England wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. It resolves to No if any other team wins the tournament. Readers often mistake the current match against Spain for the decisive event, but only the final winner of the entire 2027 tournament counts.
• England advances — the market puts it at 99%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if England advances past Greece in their FIFA World Cup Qualifiers tie. It resolves to No if they do not advance. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the first leg, but the outcome depends on the aggregate result of both legs.
• Greece — the market puts it at 64%, closing 15 Jan 2031. The market resolves to Yes if Greece qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament. It resolves to No if they do not qualify. Readers often mistake this question about the men's team for the linked story about the women's team.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.