Corporate Tax Revenue Falls as Profits Soar Under Trump
Annual corporate tax revenue declined by approximately $70 billion despite soaring profits, driven by AI investment write-offs and tax cuts signed by President Trump.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 6% |
| 10 Oct, 05:59 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 17:05 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Sept, 12:28 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 17 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 17 October at 09:02 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 4%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the top corporate federal tax rate drops below 21% before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about tax breaks for the actual reduction of the statutory tax rate.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Yes 4%
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